On Dec 19, 1:52*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Dec 19, 1:26*pm, "Graham" wrote:
Met office now revised there outlook to a warmer spell from boxing day into
the new year.
So I wonder if this is the start of the big atlantic return??
We could I suppose see a mild or very mild Jan/Feb, which despite the bitter
December would give us a Winter above average, so not that historic
Graham
Nice of them to agree with me. *))
We could all be wrong, of course and I wish the MetO would give some
idea of their confidence in this outcome. However, that would involve
them in some expense in training the tea boy who writes the 6-15 day
precis and in these times of budget cuts.............
"UK Outlook for Friday 24 Dec 2010 to Sunday 2 Jan 2011:
Further snow, widespread ice, severe overnight frosts and some
freezing fog are likely in most parts of the UK for the first few
days. Locally significant accumulations of snow can be expected at
times. Over parts of southern England it is likely to become less cold
and the snow will probably turn to rain at times beyond the Christmas
weekend. Some central and northern parts of the UK may remain
generally dry. The unsettled weather with rain, sleet or snow at times
is expected to continue across the north and perhaps the east of the
country later next week and probably into the following week. Probably
becoming less cold across much of the UK later in the period, with
temperatures returning to nearer normal and precipitation mainly
falling as rain.
Updated: 1219 on Sun 19 Dec 2010"
10 days of weather, at the single most exciting time of the year, in a
paltry 150 words. Not a single word of explanation as to why they feel
this may happen, or why it has changed so much from yesterday and no
idea whatsoever as to how confident they are in the forecast.
We really do deserve better.
...............and as I said, we could all be wrong. Neither the 12z
gfs, nor the 12z ECM support the milder option tonight.