In article
,
Dawlish writes:
..............and as I said, we could all be wrong. Neither the 12z
gfs, nor the 12z ECM support the milder option tonight.

You must be looking at a different 12Z ECM from me! The operational run
generates a very deep and slow-moving low in the Atlantic that pushes
southwesterlies and westerlies across the UK from Christmas Day onwards.
It could hardly be more different from the operational 12Z GFS, which
sticks an intense High over the UK for most of the post-Christmas week.
--
John Hall
"I look upon it, that he who does not mind his belly,
will hardly mind anything else."
Dr Samuel Johnson (1709-84)