Probably cooler and drier than average, but no distinct pattern at 10 days.
Little to characterise the weather at 10 days. No real agreement
between the models at that distance, but yesterday's couple of runs
showing retrogression and cold and heavy snow returning, was most
probably just model froth. No blizzards on the horizon for most, I'm
afraid, on those charts.
The gfs has the potential for full-blown Atlantic weather at 10 days,
depending on how it develops over the next day, or so, but the ECM
doesn't really back that. MetO going for continued cooler than average
conditions, but a little milder in the SW for a while. Reading between
the lines (and you have to), I think the precis below indicates they
don't really have much of a clue as to how this will develop past 8/9
days.
"UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Jan 2011 to Friday 14 Jan 2011:
Largely unsettled and rather cloudy from the middle of next week
through into the following weekend, with spells of rain and hill snow
in the south and west at first soon spreading northeast, perhaps
bringing some sleet and snow, as well as an ice risk, to northern,
eastern and central parts at times. Then, by the new week, the south
and east should become drier whilst the north and west remain
unsettled with showers, some of them wintry, and hill snow.
Temperatures remaining cold or rather cold to the north and east, to
the south and west nearer normal at first but turning colder later.
The colder-than-average theme then persists into the week after next.
Updated: 1200 on Fri 31 Dec 2010"
Sooon be spring!
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