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Old January 1st 11, 08:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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Default Probably cooler and drier than average, but no distinct patternat 10 days.

On Jan 1, 2:28*pm, "Col" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...

Little to characterise the weather at 10 days. No real agreement
between the models at that distance, but yesterday's couple of runs
showing retrogression and cold and heavy snow returning, was most
probably just model froth. No blizzards on the horizon for most, I'm
afraid, on those charts.


You forgot to factor in Mars being in the house of Saggitarius
and the Moon being on the cusp of Leo
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


Ah, yes! True, but one of our number probably has already............
*))

Meanwhile, cold lovers should not look at the 12z gfs. It'll put you
off your dinner. 12z ECM is hinting at the same kind of possible set-
up. If both are still there after the 12z charts for tomorrow, I'd be
properly interested.

The MetO tea boy is also hinting at milder, Atlantic conditions at 10
days+, too, in his updated precis today, but really, I still don't
think he, or the MetO has much of a clue, as they've changed their
minds quite significantly since yesterday:

"UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Jan 2011 to Saturday 15 Jan 2011:
The end of the week will be largely unsettled, with spells of rain in
the south clearing to sunny spells on Thursday, but wintry showers
continuing in the north and northeast. Remaining unsettled at the
weekend, especially in the north, northeast and west, with wintry
showers and an ice risk, but becoming drier in the south and east.
Then, by the new week, the south and east should continue drier whilst
the north and west remain unsettled with showers, some of them wintry
and with hill snow. Temperatures remaining cold or rather cold to the
north and east at first, but with indications that winds will become
more southwesterly with time, allowing temperatures to return to
nearer normal in the south and west and perhaps also the north later.
Updated: 1200 on Sat 1 Jan 2011"

The northerly, and the return of the cold, has now been reduced to a 2-
day affair.