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Old February 15th 11, 08:50 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
PJ[_4_] PJ[_4_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2010
Posts: 9
Default Forecast: mild, Atlantic weather at 10 days on 24th Feb.

On 15/02/2011 07:00, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 14, 10:34 pm, "Will wrote:
Did he provide them on TWO board before he was banned I wonder?
Just a thought? Is there an archive on TWO?
There certainly has not been 99 forecasts on USW!

Will
--

"Siberian wrote in message

...



prove it.
post where and when , all links please.


On 14/02/2011 8:12 PM, Dawlish wrote:
. You are welcome to judge it at outcome, as people have been
welcome to judge the 99 previous forecasts:- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


I'll look forward to you judging it at outcome. Every one of these 99
forecasts has been published on Netweather, TWO and here. I can assure
you that they have been picked over when they've been wrong. It will
be good to recieve any comments on the hundredth.

If you feel it is easy PJ, to forecast at 10 days at any time, all I
ask is that you try it and see how easy it is. I'm sure you'll be
successful, if it is easy. Fair enough?


I did not imply it was was easy, just that the definition of a forecast
is incorrect. I stated that the models generate the forecast and you
wait until there is agreement between them. A forecast is based upon
present and past raw data.

If I were to produce a 10 day forecast based upon model agreement then I
hope that if that were to be successful on my first attempt then I would
have Newton's humility when he wrote in a letter to Robert Hooke "If I
have seen further, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants".
PJ