On Feb 15, 8:50*am, PJ wrote:

I did not imply it was was easy, just that the definition of a forecast
is incorrect. I stated that the models generate the forecast and you
wait until there is agreement between them. A forecast is based upon
present and past raw data.

You're running into a brick wall here I'm afraid.

If I were to produce a 10 day forecast based upon model agreement then I
hope that if that were to be successful on my first attempt then I would
have Newton's humility when he wrote in a letter to Robert Hooke "If I
have seen further, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants".

I'll pay some attention to his forecasts when he starts doing them
daily. Like forecasters do.

And if he asks you to "have a try yourself" for having a pop at him,
remind him that he loves to have a pop at the severe weather warnings
and yet doesn't give these a go himself. A man of contradiction.

Richard