On Feb 15, 10:11*am, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Nevertheless real forecasters don't have the luxury of missing out days
that are "difficult" as there is an expectation upon them, hence the
occasional poor forecasts.

I've tried saying this in the past. His statistics are not a like-for-
like comparison with any forecasting house statistics. Find me a
forecasting centre that forecasts when it feels like and maybe then a
comparison is worthwhile !! Dressing up a small proportion of
forecasting days when the wind's in the right direction as having 70+%
accuracy is entirely misleading, as far as I'm concerned - heck maybe
I'm wrong.

One actual use in this (apart from telling us all for the umpteenth
time how successful he is) would be in seeing which synoptic
conditions are most prevalent in the 100+ forecasts made - that would
actually be quite helpful.

Richard