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Old February 16th 11, 10:29 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Roger Smith Roger Smith is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2003
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Default The Met Office's long-range probability map


"Togless" wrote in message
...
"John Hall" wrote:

...
No, November-January were well below average. November was cold,
December exceptionally cold, and January near average.

http://www.climate-uk.com/page3.html


OK, thanks for the info.


Now you have the info, will you now please judge for us how well the Met
Office did, to quote your first message. Note that the data was stated not
to constitute a seasonal forecast, and even if it did the implication would
only have been that there was considered just a 2 in 3 probability of above
average temperatures over the period. A fair degree of uncertainty
therefore.

Roger