On Feb 20, 1:26*pm, Nick wrote:
On Feb 19, 5:50*pm, James Brown
wrote:





Wouldn't it all become terribly boring? For me the uncertainty is part
of the enjoyment and fascination of our weather (and climate). I kind of
smile at the way myself and perhaps others have been drawn into the
elusive quest for certainty at longer range - but do you know what? I'd
prefer it remain an elusive hunt - just to keep us guessing and refining
our skills - or lack of it in my case!

OTOH if we ever did reach certainty at T240 I suppose we'd be wrangling
over T480!!

Just a thought to keep things in perspective ;-))

Cheers

James
--

Well it would be great for last minute holidays... imagine being able
to plan a trip to places like Snowdonia or the Highlands in the
knowledge that it was going to be fine.
On the other side of the coin it would be terribly depressing to know
for certain that the next two weekends were going to be washouts, on,
say, the Wednesday or Thursday of the first week.

Nick- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

My point entirely. After the last 6 years of trying and *on occasions*
that's what I can do, with 75%+ accuracy. You'd just have to get lucky
that there was enough model consistency and agreement at the time you
wanted to go. If not; you ain't got a chance of getting a decent,
relaible, 10-day forecast from *anyone*, IMO.