Mr Hand, scientific or not, based on todays 06z GFS and UKMO 0z I would
suggest Mr Gazes settled beginning to December seems closer to the mark than
your recent effort.


Regards

Mr Blowman


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Mr Blowman, thanks for that constructive scientific comment.

Just looked at the 18Z progs and they look pretty zonal to me after
midweek.
Mild too I might add.

Cheers,

Will.
--

" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
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"Mr Blowman" S@not here.karoo.co.uk wrote in message
...

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
================================================== ===============

This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may
unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions
arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great
love
for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with
others.

================================================== ===============

Summary valid for Sunday 05/12/04 to Saturday 11/12/04
TOI (time of issue) Thursday 02/12/04 2100 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF,
UKMO,
FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Confidence high that next week will gradually see a change to very
unsettled,
wet, and at times, very mild conditions in all areas. However,
confidence
only
low to moderate for the details of the change, but reasonably
confident of
the
sequence.

A ridge of high pressure should ensure a fine day in most places on
Sunday. Mild
in freshening west to southwest winds which will become strong in the
north.
Possibly exceptionally mild in parts of eastern England and eastern
Scotland
with temperatures perhaps reaching 14 or 15 deg C. Rain from a warm
front
is
likely to spread into western Scotland and northern Ireland later in
the
day.

On Monday a very deep low will be running to the north of Scotland
giving
westerly gales and possibly storm force winds for a time in the
northern
Isles.
Scotland and northern Ireland will have rain followed by squally
showers.
Some
rain further south over England and Wales but southern Britain likely
to
stay
dry, rather cloudy and mild in moderate west to southwest winds.

Tuesday looks like being another fine day in most places, but possibly
rain
spreading into western areas later. Generally mild with winds easing.

Wednesday is the day that significant rain is likely to spread into
southern
Britain from yet another Atlantic low. All other areas seeing rain
too.
Turning
colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which
will
possibly turn wintry over northern hills.

A fine and cold start to Thursday with more showers in places exposed
to
the
northwest. Possibly a frost in sheltered southern and eastern parts.
However,
more rain is likely to spread back in from the west in strengthening
southwest
winds from another deepening Atlantic low. Turning milder again.

On Friday there is a low risk of a major storm crossing the UK. More
likely
though, is another ordinary depression followed again by a return to
colder
weather on Saturday in north to northwest winds with showers turning
wintry on
northern hills.

This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a
generally
westerly
pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather followed by short
colder
northerly interludes with wintry showers over high ground. Always a
risk
as well
of major storms crossing Britain with the jet stream sinking south
with
time.

Cheers,

Will
Chief forecaster USW.
--

" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----



Is another reputable meteorologist's forecast about to go by the
wayside?

Sorry Will but your elitest attitude about a recent post may come back
to
haunt you based on tonight progs!

Maybe you will think twice about your future elitest comments?


Regards


Mr Blowman