On Apr 2, 10:55*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Apr 2, 7:31*am, Dawlish wrote:

On Mar 31, 8:54*pm, Dawlish wrote:

Looking like high pressure may establish itself across the UK again by
T240 and if the charts are to be believed, it could sit over the near
continent and pull up some warm air on it's western flank. I'm
inclined towards believing a high pressure build could occur. I'm
really not sure about where it could locate itself and certainly I.m
not sure about how long it could hang around, if it does. Could be
some pretty nice spring weather in the south in a week's time though.

A couple of days later and the gfs is suggesting 70F, perhaps a little
warmer next weekend, but then we have a model disparity with the
operationals; gfs continues the blocking theme, but ECM suggests the
warm anticyclonic weather will be short-lived. More's the pity. My
heart goes with the gfs; my head goes wit the ECM.

06z operational paints a very different picture and removes the
blocking.

ECM 00z shows high pressure hanging on over the UK until T240. GEM
sinks it south, allowing in the Atlantic and the gfs agrees. No
agreement; no consistency; any forecast would have a low chance of
success.