"Col" wrote in message
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"Will Hand" wrote in message
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"Simon S" wrote in message
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Well I know the old saying don't always come true but the bud on all
the Ash around here have broke yet no sign of the oak as yet. Hate to
be yet another person to suggest it could be a wet summer following
this dry spring.

Simon S (South Yorkshire)

Well I'm still thinking that it will remain blocked until early summer
for reasons already given, i.e. persistence of a pattern. I also
suggested that the summer could be blocked as well but will it be low
pressure stuck over us or high pressure or indeed the progressive
blocking we have at present, i.e. blocks re-forming after short
depression interludes in the north. I'm thinking 2007 possibilities again
too as the atmosphere does "compensate" in the long run :-)

But surely that is covering all bases?
Low pressure giving a wet summer, high pressure giving a dry summer
or a mixture of the two?

Not really Col. It could be a zonal summer, i.e. changeable with at most 3
fine days on the run like the 1960s. It all depends where the block sits.
Progressive blocking would give long dry spells in the south, interspersed
with weak, forward sloping cold fronts. Obviously wetter further north. But
who knows? I don't.

Will
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