View Single Post
  #11   Report Post  
Old May 22nd 11, 06:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Stormy potential Scotland Monday ... i.e. tomorrow!

On May 22, 2:52*pm, haaark wrote:
On May 22, 1:26*pm, "Col" wrote:





"Martin Rowley" wrote in message


...


... not exactly exercising this newsgroup atm, but for those of you in
roughly the 'northern half' of the British Isles, a potential *highly
significant* storm for Monday


http://bethyngalw.nowster.me.uk/charts/UKCpf036.png
[accessed 22/0835Z]


I've had a very quick look at the deterministic output from GFS, MetO &
also seen some ENS from EC, and I wonder if we're looking at an event that
is at least a 'one-in-50' year for coastal north of Ireland,
southern/central Scotland & border region Scotland/England (and adjacent
sea areas of course)?


I am reminded by this of a storm that affected the very far north
of Scotland in June, 5-10 years ago. Winds reached 100 mph.
Does anybody know the exact date of this or any more details?
--
Col


Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


Call me Mr. Jaded, but in my experience most months of the year a
forecaster will come on the Beeb and say that we are about to get
exceptionally strong winds for the time of year. These events are not
that exceptional in the height of summer, never mind May. If tomorrow
turns out to be a 1 in 50 year event (even just for May), we're not
going to see some trees blown about a bit, we're going to have some
deaths.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


It is rather exceptional to have such a warming in a period of UK
blocking, however. *))