On Jun 13, 8:48*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 12, 10:29*pm, Dawlish wrote:



We are entering a period of Atlantic dominated weather, following
today's depression and indeed, we have been trending towards this for
over a week.

**At T240, on 22/06/2011, the UK will still be be experiencing a
period of Atlantic weather. Depressions, approaching from the west,
will bring periods of rain and showers, punctuated by calmer, warmer
weather in transient ridges. As depressions approach, it being June,
the strong sunshine will lift temperatures quickly, so 25C is not
impossible. If we are in the lee of a depression on the 22nd, it will
be decidedly cool**

I can't predict the exact weather on one day in 10 days time; that's
impossible, but there has been enough agreement and consistency to
give me 80% confidence in that forecast. Really, what I am saying, as
I said on the 5th June, for the 15th, is that there will not be hot
and sunny weather due to a block; it will be changeable, at best.

Nothing to change my mind a day later. This is the season for plumes,
however and parts of Europe may be in for its first real baking from
one, as we suffer under the cool depressions at T+240.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2402.gif

Even though next week doesn't look that bad, this is definitely a
month for continent-envy. The cool, changeable weather which we're
occasionally getting (though not right now) doesn't seem to be
extending far into continental Europe, in contrast to many examples of
this sort of W-NW-N setup, and while this month probably won't be an
absolute 1997-style stinker, you don't seem to have to go too far east
to be experiencing significantly better conditions...

Nick