On Aug 28, 9:15*pm, Dawlish wrote:
All models agree; it's just the consistency I'm now looking for. The
end of the first week in September appears to be going to take a walk
on the wilder side after this coming week.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?a...nsviewer;sess=

It's worth highlighting the ones that get away, as well. Had I
forecast this, it would have been a good forecast, but the models just
would not keep the agreement, or the consistency and if you read back
in the discussion, by the evening of the next day, the models had a
dalliance with high pressure. That ruined the forecast, as the return
to unsettled and cool on the models was only at 8 days and that's no
good to me.

I wish I could factor these changes into my forecasts and spot when a
change from what I'm commenting on is in fact a red herring, as the
suggestion of the establishment of high pressure subsequently proved
to be, but I simply can't. All this ends up is past commentary that
ended up pretty correct, but it certainly doesn't qualify as a
successful forecast!