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Old November 15th 11, 08:46 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Adam Lea[_3_] Adam Lea[_3_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,184
Default The Models will all change their long term ideas in the next3 to 4 days.

On 15/11/11 06:53, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 14, 11:42 pm, Adam wrote:
On 14/11/11 21:05, Dawlish wrote:





On Nov 14, 1:42 pm, wrote:
On Nov 14, 12:19 pm, Dave wrote:


Neo wrote:


A few things are coming together now that will seem to aid


the cooling process in W Europe over the coming days/weeks.


-------------------


Winter? ;-)


No, positioning of upper air features/jet trajectories, changes in
stability, cloud distribution, proximity/arrival of drier air,
modifying of slow moving air, origins of air masses.....of course
winter makes it cooler, but with respect to average winter
temperatures, air cools differently if it has a strong SSW Tropical
origin than it would with a slow or moderate Polar or Polar
Continental origin.


Go and read basic meteorology texts about airmass theory and
modification of airmasses in different seasons. Then read up about
upper air theory and the broad scale distribution and propagation of
jet streams and upper atmospheric thermodynamics.
It is all very interesting, we are talking real weather here, not
climate.


Neo


Nothing showing yet......


I will be interested to see just how long this mild weather continues
for, the temperatures are bound to drop significantly at some point,
aren't they?

I'm hoping when they do, it will put an end to the ongoing caterpillar
infestation on my brocolli.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Certain to. They are at close to record levels for Nov. That could
explain why now is a good time to forecast UK cooling to start,
because of whichever factor one decides is the reason, apart from the
fact that winter is coming and emperatures won't stay as high as they
have been!

PS You're still harvesting Broccoli Adam?


I started growing Broccoli this year so it has been producing copious
amounts of leaves this season but no florets. I have been informed that
they will produce a crop next year, however it is more a case of whether
they will survive that long, as some of them look like a plague of
locusts has gone through.

rant
Every single time I try to grow my own food it either gets destroyed by
unusual weather conditions or a major pest infestation.
/rant