Cold "wodge" of air over Greenland
"Joe Whyte" wrote in message
...
From reading Will's posts
from the time I've subscribed to this newsgroup many, many years ago(!), I
wouldn't think that's Will's reasoning to kill-file you...but then I can't
and don't speak for him.
Hi Joe, I thought I did explain why. Basically I do not have the time to
argue. Dawlish seems to spends hours and hours on usenet. I simply don't
have that time, having to work and pursuing many other interests. It's as
simple as that! Always happy to expand on queries and questions.
OK looking at the 12Z runs the pattern is still the same with the very cold
wodge of air persisting over Greenland helping to maintain Atlantic mobility
but even at 3-4 days ahead the detailed outcomes are very uncertain due to
crtical timing of phasing in of upper troughs with the tight low-level
baroclinic zone. The pattern is too mobile for development of a block I'd
say and the solutions offered by ECM and JMA in my opinion look very
reasonable with deep lows moving towards UK introducing milder air with
colder air returning quickly. Obviously the coldest conditions will stay in
the north, especially Scotland where an occlusion on Wednesday morning could
give quite a bit of frontal snow to quite low-levels.
That's it now, beer this evening (not wine Dave), work tomorrow :-)
Cheers,
Will
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