Eskimo Will wrote:

"ronaldbutton" wrote in message
...
Since Will has stopped issuing his dire weather warnings the weather
has definitely turned milder. Not only has it been the longest'suckers
gap' in history,but Dawlish is now looking for High pressure to
establish itself over southern Britain,which will probably result in
the 'warmest Spring in history'.
This has all got to stop ! ,so come on Will ,examine your runes
again,get out your prayer mat ,and start chopping those logs again.



I have been away Ron!
LOL

Funnily enough I fancy the weather will change by mid-month (January).
There is a minor stratospheric warming event underway, not yet in
evidence below 30 hPa though, so we will have to see how that
progresses, if it continues it will slow down the westerlies. There are
also some similarities to winter 1946/47. Also the fantasy charts (T+192
onward) from GFS and ensembles show a downward trend in temperatures and
potential cold scenarios. There is a lot of winter left and I fully
expect to make good use of my new sledge. No need for prayer mats yet LOL.

Ciao,

Eskimo Will
----------------------------
I agree that mid month has been looking like a possible change. The
natural downward trend of background temperature at this time of year
will mean that even polar maritime westerlies of the recent past will be
a bit colder. At least the mean of the high level of uncertaintity is
lower in the ensembles now! There is hope.
Dave