In article ,
Stan writes:
On 20/01/2012 9:47 AM, Eskimo Will wrote:

Pendulum swung again on 00Z runs in favour of a cold block. The
intensity and duration of the cold is now the question I'd say. Is it
going to be a "mellow" E to SE'ly with a lot of dry sunny weather
(except in Essex which will be plagued by stratus) and temperatures
2-4C, or is it going to be a "full on" cyclonic NE'ly with widespread
snow. Or is it going to be a high developing over southern Britain with
frosty nights breaking down from the NW with mild SW winds returning. My
money at present is on the "mellow" and Essex stratus :-)
I love the drama of winter, the next MetO update is going to be
interesting.

and the pendulum swings back to mild on 12z ECM


Only on the operational run. For the first time the mean pressure chart
for all ensemble members suggests that for the first time the blocked
members have a narrow majority.
--
John Hall
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
by those who have not got it."
George Bernard Shaw