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Old December 22nd 04, 04:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Brendan DJ Murphy Brendan DJ Murphy is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2003
Posts: 520
Default weather warning issued

Damned if you do, damned if you dont.

sigh



Its not a case of "Damned if you do, damned if you dont", its a matter of
being accurate.

Too many false-positives is just as bad as false-negatives. We all know
about the famous false-negatives "Don't worry, there isnt going to be a
hurricane". Ever since that famous forecast of 1987, we are continually
getting false-positives.
Its rather dangerous as people will lose faith in the severe weather
wanings.

One of these days, we are going to get a major "true-positive" of a
destructive storm, but people will not be properly prepared because of
their lack of faith in the forecast.

Brendan