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Old December 22nd 04, 05:44 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
danny\(west kent\) danny\(west kent\) is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2004
Posts: 51
Default Each run is looking less impressive.

Yeah, obviously the general evolution is cold air moving south!, but what is
also obvious is that each consecutive run has been less cold! Sure it is
interesting but at least agree with the facts!
The fact is (at the moment) 'each run is looking less impressive.' Lets get
this optimistic junk out the way and start talking facts\science.
Come on Jon, expect more from you. Your sounding like one of those TWO forum
posters.
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Brendan, the general evolution appears consistent to me, i.e. deep cold

air
flooding south with the emphasis on convective activity in the north and
west.

I'd keep your eye on these now, as Scandyhigh suggests :-
http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2a.gif
The troughs shouldn't be taken literally but give some indication of where
to expect areas of organised/enhanced convection.

http://www.unibas.ch/geo/mcr/3d/mete...22/MANBP69.PNG
apply sea temps of at least 10C on the above forecast profile for 21Z on

the
24th and we're looking at CB to around 350mb/circa 26000ft, heavy

snow/hail
showers (probably a bit sleety over sea and coastal areas) and the odd
thunderstorm for good measure.

Interesting times ahead.

Jon.