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Old December 22nd 04, 11:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dave Ludlow Dave Ludlow is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Sep 2003
Posts: 442
Default Each run is looking less impressive.

On Wed, 22 Dec 2004 20:12:13 -0000, "Jon O'Rourke"
wrote:

"danny(west kent)" wrote in
message .. .
Hi Jon,
Cool, lets hope for some interesting weather the next few days!
Danny.


Indeed, there's a lot going on now and before the 25th. From your
perspective I'd be watching developments on the predicted wave on Christmas
Eve very closely http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack1.gif

FWIW I, too, haven't noticed any backing off of the models from the
cold/snow scenario. I remain sceptical, however, that there will be
any significant snow on low ground near the South Coast and this is
borne out by the MetO "disruption probability" map you pointed out
earlier i.e. 30% not only for the coastal areas but well inland in the
South, too. Sounds about right to me... 30% i.e. it (disruption from
snow) "probably" won't happen anywhere near me.

I do like a nice surprise though... bring back the "thundersnow".

--
Dave
Solent Riviera.