If you keeo carrying on like that Will ,you drag Dawlish up from the
depths.....!

RonB


"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...
On 29/03/2012 09:16, Dartmoor Will wrote:
In the past if someone mentioned this to me as a possibility I would
come back and say that I thought it was extremely unlikely, practically
impossible. But is it? I know we have seen heat records smashed recently
and it is easy to get carried away, but you cannot deny the facts. If
this drought continues and the ground becomes bone dry then we start to
get the ingredients for a 40C. It would take a special synoptic setup
though. First of all we'd need a SE'ly to import some hot and dry
tropical continental air in early August preferably when seas are
warming and insolation is still strong. This would need a high to our
east but influencing us to keep away Atlantic fronts and cloud. Once the
hot dry air is over us then the high needs to migrate west and allow the
air to settle and a large inversion to form in the boundary layer
allowing insolation to build up heat further heating the bone dry
ground. Then one day somewhere hits 40.1C. I'm wondering if it is worth
a bet? What odds would the bookies give now on such an event?
Interesting. Note that this is not a forecast but speculation on an
event that IMHO in the past two years has become more likely to happen
given the increased tendency for blocking. Yes I know recent summers
have been on the cool side and 2012 may be no different, but it is one
of those things I have a "feeling" for and I just wanted to get it off
my chest.

Will (gazing thoughtfully at the sky with doom-laden music playing in
the background)
--

Its always possible Will. Look at those max in Canada - swept the board.
My feeling is though this will all break and we'll have another mediocre
Summer (based on nothing scientific!)

--
Phil
Guildford