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Old March 30th 12, 04:14 PM posted to sci.geo.earthquakes,uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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Default The next big one. Maule, Chile.

On Mar 26, 12:32*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 23, 2:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

The next large earthquake aught to be Japan.


And it still might be.

But first let me clear a small point up here for the future generation
that composes Weatherlawyer's ardent fans:

There is an order of magnitude or so between what I meant in the first
instance by "large magnitude" and what followed:

However there have been few large quakes there in the last weeks
despite all the High Pressure over Britain and Western Europe.


Before the Superquake lasdt year there had been a sequence of lesser
large quakes starting in the Bonnin and Volcano Islands.

I'm glad I had the chance to clear that up befor anyone noticed. Maybe
they haven't ben born yet, eh?

Today (23rd March 2012) with everyone on uk.sci.weather moaning about
how nice it is and how nobody told them about fog and all the rest of
it (comparative drought conditions) I though it might be an idea to
get set for the Japanese quake.


Since the region is blocked we aught to be getting some tropical
cyclones. So far there are none showing.


I don't think this is the end of it:
2012/03/25
7.2 M. @ 22:37.
35.2 S. 71.8 W. Maule, Chile.











Last year around this time of year there were notifications of
depressions, storms and cyclones between February 1 and April 30 in 11
basins:


South Atlantic - 14 March.
South Indian - 9, 11, 15, 16 Feb, 17 March, 2 and 15 April.
South Pacific - 18 and 13 February.
West Pacific - 2 April.


I don't imagine it would be a good idea to expect a cyclone in the
South Atlantic to warn us of the next severe Japanese earthquake. But
it WAS the only one just before the Fukushima business.


There are 9 known events in that region according the Wikipedia:


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_atlantic_hurricane


Subtropical Cyclone 17 March 1974
Angola Tropical Storm 10 1991
Tropical Cyclone 18 January 2004
Cyclone Catarina 28 March 2004
Tropical Storm 21 February 2006
Subtropical Storm 28 January 2009
Tropical Storm Anita 8 March 2010
Subtropical Storm 16 November 2010
Subtropical Storm Arani 14 March 2011


So they are not completely unknown.
What I remember of events around that time was an eruption in Iceland
and a severe storm in the far north off Norway.


This week, the MetOffice is indicating a lot of volcanic activity:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html


Archives he


http://www.woksat.info/wwp7.html


I'll put some of the charts on an album and a thread *in my blog.
http://my.opera.com/Are-You-a-Lunari.../2012/03/25/a-...

And
http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/


The anticyclone seems to be intact judging from the starry night
outside my window.
I can't speak for the rest of Europe but I think that any changes
would have shown up here.

The only give away the storm was an earthquake was the way the Met
Office was so unsure of the weather.

So that seems to have left the door open for that cyclone off
Newfoundland to move in.
If it forms a block then we will be due another southern storm in the
tropics.


There has been a glitch in the matrix somewhere. I don't know how that
Maule quake slipped in. It didn't figure on the charts for the
Antarctic as far as I know. (Of course it DID appear on the North
Atlantic chart but as a double quake. We all make mistakes, I
suppose.)

Anyway this is the next big thing.

But I think it is going to have to wait for Pakhar to implode (A
couple of large 5's or maybe 3 consecutive mid 5s.)

Then (unless the intervention of the solstice meant what I imagine)
the massive quake should show up in the Antarctic.

So...
Where got hit after the last Vietnamese typhoons?