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Old September 6th 03, 07:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Jim Webster Jim Webster is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2003
Posts: 220
Default Sunday - Where's all the rain gone!!!


"Col" wrote in message
...

"danny" wrote in message
...


Who knows, it might even help the public understand the difficulties
of weather forecasting?

Col


You got it! At last someone in this newsgroup can accept *at the moment*

you
*cannot* rely on 1-2 day forecast to plan our lives ... e.g. go for a

walk
tommorow or whatever , instead of bumlicking the METO.
They are just not accurate enough... maybe if they ploughed less money

into
Global Warming systems, and back to basics?


Well to be fair you can *usually* rely on 1-2 day forecasts.
We have come a long way from 30 years ago when the 2 day forecasts
were about as accurate as the 5 day forecasts are today.


as someone who tends to keep an eye on the forecasts because the weather is
important I do think they are better than they were.
As a rule of thumb, for todays forecast I would expect it to be right but
with evens perhaps turning up an hour later or early, tomorrows forecast
should be a decent guide.
Interestingly enough the forecast the BBC do on a Sunday about noon tends to
be useful because they explain the trends, which means that during the week
you can see why things are starting to differ from the forecast and make
your judgements accordingly.

Jim Webster