On Jun 23, 7:02*pm, "Col" wrote:
"John Hall" wrote in message

...





In article
,
Lawrence13 writes:
snip
The probability that UK precipitation for April May June
will fall into the driest of our five categories is 2025%
whilst the probability that it will fall into
the wettest of our five categories is 1015%
(the 19712000
climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).

So the 10-15% chance was the one that came up. Anyone who follows the
gee-gees knows that 7-1 shots sometimes win. Since the MetO were careful
to mention that wet weather was a possibility, and that the forecast
only "slightly favours drier than average conditions", I don't see why
you are giving them so much stick. Everyone knows - or should know -
that three-monthly forecasts have a high degree of uncertainty.

He gives them stick simply because the Met Office 'believes' in
AGW and he doesn't, it's as simple as that.
Any excuse to put the boot in.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Put the agw to one side Col: Do you really think an organisation that
boasts how important it is to our very lives itself is an arrogant
nanny state meddling pile of doggy do. I had to laugh reading the
other day that someone at UKMO's Peter Trevylan had won and award for
IT application for visualising weather forecasts . I then immediatley
thought of their ****e new website and yet they release a three month
precipitation forecast only seven days before the heavens opened.

Style over substance is the new mantra and they are at least good at
that.