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Old November 16th 12, 09:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
[email protected] stevex11@aol.com is offline
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Default What happened to the predicted -15C?

On Friday, 16 November 2012 17:44:44 UTC, Col wrote:
"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message

...

Col wrote:


David Allan wrote:


At the beginning of the week, I caught one of the BBC breakfast


presenters on TV saying something about it getting really cold later


in the week and mentioned a 'national' paper saying temperatures


would drop to -15C! The link then when into the weather slot where


the forecaster qualified the statement by explaining that when they


said -15C, they probably meant the mountain tops. Now, here we are at


Thursday and the weekend temperatures for Northeast England (where I


live) are predicted to be around 7-8C and up to 10C for the start of


the new week. Did I miss something?




You did miss something




The -15C was for the end of the *month* not the end of the week.


--------------------------


It looks like it will turn colder at the end of the month but it's mild


now and I've tended to notice over the years that it is not uncommon as we


move into winter. ;-)




Exactly

But I would imagine that -15C at the end of November would only be

likely in Scottish frost hollows. I reckon it wouldn't be unusual for

Altnaharra to reach such a temperature. But that is what this forecast

is counting on of course, technically correct but far from a representative

value even in open country, let alone towns and cities.

--

Col



Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl


It was a "feels like" temperature on a scottish mountain in a strong wind according to the weather presenter on Radio Five Live, IIRC.

--
Steve R.
Swansea