"Lawrence13" wrote in message
...
On Wednesday, 19 December 2012 14:25:09 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Wednesday, December 19, 2012 2:18:58 PM UTC, Nick wrote: The latest
30 day forecast seems absolutely hopeless without even a chance of
anything even slightly pleasant, never mind interestingly cold, for
the south of England for the next month. Is it now time to write off
the first half of winter 2012/13 as a hideous, damp,
Atlantic-dominated gloomfest? Is there any hope whatsoever of anything
even passably pleasant (read: dry, don't care about the temperature)
before late January? Seems January will be the 10th consecutive
unsettled month according to that forecast. It seems possible now that
April 2012-March 2013 will be possibly the wettest 12-month on record,
unless Feb and March are extremely dry. It's the shortest day
on Friday but with that forecast I suspect it'll be February before we
notice the afternoons getting even slightly lighter. Nick
Don't be silly. There's "massive uncertainty" this weekend, next weekend,
some other weekend anway, with cold air undercuts and a huge possibility
of a snowflake somewhere. It's well known, obvious, almost certain, maybe.
*)) How long was that on the charts? One run, or two?

One my dear friend, yesterdays 12z GFS
===============

No Lawrence, there is greater than normal uncertainty in 2m temperatures for
London from 12Z, 18Z, 00Z and 06Z runs so far for this weekend. Do you not
look at ensemble outputs? Uncertainty does not equal cold, it is just that -
uncertainty - and I find that fascinating in it's own right, which is what
my post was about. But that would have been obvious to most LOL. I'm now
more concerned about the very heavy rain in Devon tonight though.

Will
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