Is it now time to write off the first half of winter?
On Wednesday, 19 December 2012 14:41:58 UTC, wrote:
"Lawrence13" wrote in message ... On Wednesday, 19 December 2012 14:25:09 UTC, Dawlish wrote: On Wednesday, December 19, 2012 2:18:58 PM UTC, Nick wrote: The latest 30 day forecast seems absolutely hopeless without even a chance of anything even slightly pleasant, never mind interestingly cold, for the south of England for the next month. Is it now time to write off the first half of winter 2012/13 as a hideous, damp, Atlantic-dominated gloomfest? Is there any hope whatsoever of anything even passably pleasant (read: dry, don't care about the temperature) before late January? Seems January will be the 10th consecutive unsettled month according to that forecast. It seems possible now that April 2012-March 2013 will be possibly the wettest 12-month on record, unless Feb and March are extremely dry. It's the shortest day on Friday but with that forecast I suspect it'll be February before we notice the afternoons getting even slightly lighter. Nick Don't be silly. There's "massive uncertainty" this weekend, next weekend, some other weekend anway, with cold air undercuts and a huge possibility of a snowflake somewhere. It's well known, obvious, almost certain, maybe. *)) How long was that on the charts? One run, or two? One my dear friend, yesterdays 12z GFS =============== No Lawrence, there is greater than normal uncertainty in 2m temperatures for London from 12Z, 18Z, 00Z and 06Z runs so far for this weekend. Do you not look at ensemble outputs? Uncertainty does not equal cold, it is just that - uncertainty - and I find that fascinating in it's own right, which is what my post was about. But that would have been obvious to most LOL. I'm now more concerned about the very heavy rain in Devon tonight though. Will --
"Do you not look at ensemble"? Well Ilke music a lot so can you point me too the,?
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