Thread: Stratwarm
View Single Post
  #10   Report Post  
Old January 6th 13, 11:05 AM posted to sci.geo.earthquakes,uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 28 December to 11 January 2013.

On Jan 5, 10:20 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

There is a possibility that these will play ring around the roses. I
have no idea what that will mean. All the weather charts seem to be up
the spout at the moment. I have no idea why.


The Alaska Low has changed into a three pointed centre on the forecast
NAEFS.
It is the same pattern and timing as the Met Office give for their
version off Greenland.


The last time I was aware of the behaviour of lows in the same region
circulating a common centre -if this is what is going to happen, there
was an associated tropical storm off Réunion in the south west Indian
Ocean.

What is happening off Alaska is much the same but I have minus 1
experience of that.

The Met Office show that the developments will produce an anticyclone
in the Denmark Straight which is unusual. What is incredible is that
it is flanked by a Greenland and a Scandinavian Low.


There is a massive Polar High that is centred in Asia just of the
chart he

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/...is/947_100.gif at the time of writing: 6 January 2013.


1045 mb. It covers half of the North Pole (declining towards the
Norwegian Sea rather than facing any serious opposition.)

And off the coast of the USA there is another substantial High. This
is coupled with an High over the coast that extends as far as the
Mississippippippaeiii.

I am afraid the planet has seismic issues it is yet to deal with.
Unhappily for some, the tropical storm situation id dying out. But as
a glance at:

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...ml?type=mslp-p....


This should be anything BUT the case.

I can only imagine that the relatively large earthquake off Alaska was
just a prelude to what we are about to receive, may the lord make us
truly grateful. It has all gone quiet on the western front:

Update time =
Sun Jan 6 2013 @ 7:28:22 UTC

5.1 MAURITIUS - REUNION REGION
5.1 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA
7.5 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA
5.4 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN
5.1 MID-INDIAN RIDGE

Hardly the behaviour seasoned realists would expect from the USGS
lists after a mag. 7 is it?

No doubt obductionists will come up with something if badgered
continuously for long enough. Something to do with not enough shaking
to settle all the fizz out of the pop?

OK enough of the funny stuff, people are going to die.
Let's see if we can find out where.

There are two viable methods for detecting where the most likely
epicentre is:

1. Where the confluence of the most severe pressure systems are. The
epicentres will be some 90 degrees along the 1016 isobar between them.

The regions to watch out for will be some 80 degrees from the centres
of the High and the Low involved. Unfortunately that is quite a large
area given the size of a centre for any suitable High (in this case
most of central Siberia and or 1/4 of the west Pacific.)

The problem with Lows is their penchant for moving off at the last
minute. Of course had we reasonable analysis charts to consult things
might get nailed down to within 6 hours of escapement.

I can't see that happening in my life time. Not with the dolts in
charge of the rule books in places like the Met Orifice. Still never
mind eh?
Mustn't grumble, there is always method II subsection paragraph 14
ibid 2034a. subsection b. (Fourth line from the bottom.) New Zealand
et al:

2. We could just look up the last one:

http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/bl...f-january-2009


Day. Month. Mag. time. Long. Lat.

3. 1. 7.7. M. @ 194350.65. -0.414. 132.885
3. 1. 7.4. M. @ 223340.29. -0.691. 133.305
15. 1. 7.4. M. @ 174939.07. 46.857. 155.154
11. 2. 7.2. M. @ 173450.49. 3.886. 126.387
18. 2. 7. M. @ 215345.16. -27.424. -176.33
19. 3. 7.6. M. @ 181740.47. -23.043. -174.66
28. 5. 7.3. M. @ 82446.56. 16.731. -86.217
15. 7. 7.8. M. @ 92229.03. -45.762. 166.562
9. 8. 7.1. M. @ 105555.11. 33.167. 137.944
10. 8. 7.5. M. @ 195538.73. 14.099. 92.902
2. 9. 7. M. @ 75501.05. -7.782. 107.297
29. 9. 8.1. M. @ 174810.99. -15.489. -172.095
30. 9. 7.6. M. @ 101609.25. -0.72. 99.867
7. 10. 7.7. M. @ 220314.47. -13.006. 166.51
7. 10. 7.8. M. @ 221851.24. -12.517. 166.382
7. 10. 7.4. M. @ 231348.16. -13.093. 166.497
9. 11. 7.3. M. @ 104455.11. -17.239. 178.331

That looks messy. Here is the source:

http://neic.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/epic/ep...=Submit+Search


Not very lucid is it. It looks like a spread of 2 weeks between all of
them until March. I wonder what the phases we

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html


(Well you didn't think I was going to put them all on here, did you?)