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Old January 14th 13, 11:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Eskimo Will Eskimo Will is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2011
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Default Let battle commence


"John Hall" wrote in message
...
In article ,
Eskimo Will writes:
huge snip
Now, with phase 2 of the SSW expected soon


Could you tell us who is expecting that and why, Will? Do we have any
way of telling in advance if a SSW is likely to continue or when it is
likely to end?


John, phase one is the vortex splitting which is now complete. Phase two is
the descent of the zonal wind reversal down into the troposphere. I was
thinking of the latest ECM prediction
http://wekuw.met.fu-berlin.de/~Aktue...lert=1&lng=eng
looks like completing within a few days.
ECM forecasts have proved reliable.

Will
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