In message , Jon O'Rourke
writes
"Norman Lynagh" wrote in
message ...

Following that argument through it would then seem appropriate to say in
the public forecasts that the higher gusts were a possibility but had
less than a 30 percent probability of actually occurring. That's
certainly not the way it came across in any TV forecasts that I saw.

Norman.

I guess we're back to the old chestnut of presentation, Norman.

Indeed we are, Jon. As a forecaster it's easy to know what message you
want to get across but it's often nearly impossible to find the right
words to actually achieve that. An added problem is that two people
hearing the same words may take in different messages. As we all know,
some people are a lot better than others at composing succinct and
easily understandable scripts.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England