In article ,
Norman writes:
.......and don't forget, Richard, not so many years ago there weren't any
numerical models to assist at all :-)

I think it would have been circa 1978 when the local weather guy on ITV
South - a man in his sixties known as "Trevor the Weather", who knew his
stuff and I think had probably previously worked for the MO but then
retired - forecast rain overnight one night, with perhaps a little snow
on the tops of the Downs. He then said something like: "I ought to
mention that the Met Office computer model is forecasting much more snow
than that, but I'm pretty sure it's wrong." The following evening he was
big enough to concede that he had been wrong and the model right. Of
course that was in the early days, when the chance of the model being
wrong - even at short range - was much higher than it is nowadays, so
his scepticism was understandable.
--
John Hall

"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."
Oscar Wilde