"Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message
...
Tonights low shown to have one of these features developing.
I'm sure the experts can explain why bent back occlusions are particularly
nasty?
I remember one featured greatly in giving this area 100mph+ gusts on
Boxing
night 1998.
The GFS model predicts an overland storm force 10 uncomfortably close to
this location in the early morning.
The track is rather crucial mind you, and I guess it could still go a bit
north or a little bit south.
Gusts of 90mph can't be out of the question either I'd imagine?
Alex.


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Conditions in Wishaw @ 7:40am , 7/1/05
Temperature 11.3 °C. Dew point 10.8 ºC. 97.0 %RH
Mean wind speed 23 mph from the South West . Gusting to 39 mph.
Remarks; Heavy Rain , 0.6 mm precipitation in the past hour.
Cloud cover: Overcast
MSLP 999.3 mb, Rising .
Today's Max. 11.3 °C at 7:31am .
Today's min. 10.4 °C at 1:14am .
Today's rain 7.6 mm
Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland
N55º47'14", W3º55'15". 360ft/117m amsl
http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/
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There is a real risk of a =sting jet= scenario with a quickly developing or
rapidly developing low crossing the UK underneath a powerful 150Knt Jet.
Southern Scotland is at risk of seeing the upper winds dragged down as the
low exits (80Knts gusts are just about possible) Track and degree of
development will be crucial. (GFS has it slightly shallower and slightly
further south for instance) The difference may not sound great but it will
make a huge difference as to whether the central lowlands are under the
possible "sting"
PB