Martin Rowley wrote:

... late Sunday and through Monday looking quite fruity for us in
southern England. Low slipping across northern France - cold (very cold
for this time of year) air cutting in out of the ENE .... PPN envelope
creeping from west-to-east ....

In the past though, models have tended to consistently back off such
threats and there is always the problem of how much influence the drier
lower tropospheric air erodes the PPN area .... still .... keeps us on
our toes; where did I hide my snow shovel :-)

Martin.


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Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!
Dave, S.Essex