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Old January 7th 05, 03:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Alex Stephens Jr Alex Stephens Jr is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2004
Posts: 361
Default Tonights bomb and bent back occlusion

I agree Jon/Martin.
There's still a lot to play for with this low, and sensible precaution is
definitely the wisest option for anyone who has a risk of being affected by
it.
I think my experience with the boxing day storm in 98 puts quite a lot of
fear into my mind in these situations. And I'm sure those who felt the brunt
of the October 87 storm can relate to that. Indeed it may have more
similarities with the latter system - as the 1998 storm was more mature and
predictable in its path and nature I recall. That's definitely not to say it
will contain the same devastating winds as in Oct 87 though!
I also wonder if, with the barometric plunge, there's a chance of blizzards
developing too? Just the merest hint of such a scenario on a recent news 24
forecast.

Nigel - I'm really not the person to ask sorry. My advice would be to watch
this newsgroup or listen out for weather bulletins later this evening. As
Jon and Martin have just written - there's still a lot of if's and but's.

Alex.

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"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...

There is still significant differences between the various models, Alex,
including the possible sting jet development and its positioning. Thus
the
fine detail shouldn't be taken too literally, particularly in volatile
situations such as this.


... agree he this is a *highly* developmental situation (discussed
elsewhere in the ng) - right on our doorstep! Best not to try and be
clever; if you've got concerns about the wind, then take precautions (if
possible) and be thankful if things aren't quite as bad as might be.

Martin.


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