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Old June 10th 13, 04:47 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Scott W Scott W is offline
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Default Situation at 7-10 days on gfs and ECM

On Monday, June 10, 2013 9:43:15 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, June 9, 2013 9:43:24 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote: On Saturday, June 8, 2013 11:59:21 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote: On Friday, June 7, 2013 9:24:53 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote: On Friday, June 7, 2013 9:16:38 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote: Dawlish wrote: On Thursday, June 6, 2013 8:13:58 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote: .......is almost a mirror image of what has happened over the last week over the UK. The Azores high ridging towards a blocking high over Scandinavia and squeezing out lower pressure over the UK. See if it is still there tomorrow. If it achieves outcome, Bjorn should be in for some superb weather. Not there this morning! You really should stick to your own formula of consistent consecutive runs ;-) Dave I do. That's why there's no forecast, Dave. *)) Indications that this topsy-turvy start to the summer, in terms of European pressure systems, may be starting to resolve itself into something more familiar, with a European high and a jet much further north. The present situation of the Azores high linking to an anticyclone over Scandinavia is never going to give us a memorable summer, but a static European High, extending northwards to encompass much of the UK and steering the jet over Scandinavia, certainly would. ECM and GEM certainly pointing to rising pressure over Europe by T+240. Pressure over Berne about to rise? *)) Possibilities still for warm and dry, but I realise a portion of that is me being hopeful! Ensembles look warmer and drier than average, which is encouraging. Coo! Interesting heat showing at T+240 on both the gfs and especially the ECM. If that situation stays, it really will be flaming June with 30C+ in the SE.


Could be a case of close but no cigar, with heat staying across the Channel as it sometimes does?