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Old June 16th 13, 10:50 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
BK BK is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2013
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Default Situation at 7-10 days on gfs and ECM


"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Friday, June 14, 2013 7:39:22 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, June 13, 2013 12:44:44 PM UTC+1, Scott W wrote:


Looks like it will turn very hot in Hungary - high 30Cs. I wonder if
the region to the east is in for a repeat of 2010 - *killer heatwave*
headlines on the way


gfs 12z would have us believe that the heat will clip the SE. It is so
interesting watching the models struggling with the path of the first
North African plume of the year.


It really has been fascinating to watch the model "Ummms" and "Ah's" on
this one. Confidence from both models that the heat will spill into the SE
and perhaps, along with it, some beefy thunderstorms.

As long as it's all over and done with quickly and Royal Ascot on the
Saturday is bathed in sunshine from a brief ridge of high pressure, I
don't mind. *))

(He says, crossing his fingers!)


And for my daughters wedding on Saturday in a hopefully sunny West Sussex!

Rob