Situation at 7-10 days on gfs and ECM
On Sunday, June 16, 2013 12:36:46 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, June 16, 2013 10:50:29 AM UTC+1, BK wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Friday, June 14, 2013 7:39:22 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, June 13, 2013 12:44:44 PM UTC+1, Scott W wrote:
Looks like it will turn very hot in Hungary - high 30Cs. I wonder if
the region to the east is in for a repeat of 2010 - *killer heatwave*
headlines on the way
gfs 12z would have us believe that the heat will clip the SE. It is so
interesting watching the models struggling with the path of the first
North African plume of the year.
It really has been fascinating to watch the model "Ummms" and "Ah's" on
this one. Confidence from both models that the heat will spill into the SE
and perhaps, along with it, some beefy thunderstorms.
As long as it's all over and done with quickly and Royal Ascot on the
Saturday is bathed in sunshine from a brief ridge of high pressure, I
don't mind. *))
(He says, crossing his fingers!)
And for my daughters wedding on Saturday in a hopefully sunny West Sussex!
Rob
*)) Crossed fingers Rob!
It's quite amazing how this post has come about, after the model shifting over the past 5 days, but, as the models presently stand, somewhere in the SE could see 30C next Wed (Gravesend??) and there could be quite a thundery breakdown following the short-lived heat.
And now...................Coo! Summer at only 5/6 days on both models. That turnaround, from hopelessly unsettled ad infinitum, has happened in under 36 hours and at well under 10 days. I don't really expect that to change on this evening's runs.
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