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Old June 20th 13, 06:33 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dennis[_2_] Dennis[_2_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2012
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Default Situation at 7-10 days on gfs and ECM

On Thu, 20 Jun 2013 09:12:13 -0700, Dawlish wrote:

On Sunday, June 16, 2013 12:36:46 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Sunday, June 16, 2013 10:50:29 AM UTC+1, BK wrote:

"Dawlish" wrote in message



...



On Friday, June 14, 2013 7:39:22 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:



On Thursday, June 13, 2013 12:44:44 PM UTC+1, Scott W wrote:







Looks like it will turn very hot in Hungary - high 30Cs. I
wonder if



the region to the east is in for a repeat of 2010 - *killer
heatwave*



headlines on the way







gfs 12z would have us believe that the heat will clip the SE. It
is so



interesting watching the models struggling with the path of the
first



North African plume of the year.







It really has been fascinating to watch the model "Ummms" and
"Ah's" on



this one. Confidence from both models that the heat will spill into
the SE



and perhaps, along with it, some beefy thunderstorms.







As long as it's all over and done with quickly and Royal Ascot on
the



Saturday is bathed in sunshine from a brief ridge of high pressure,
I



don't mind. *))







(He says, crossing his fingers!)







And for my daughters wedding on Saturday in a hopefully sunny West
Sussex!







Rob



*)) Crossed fingers Rob!


It's quite amazing how this post has come about, after the model
shifting over the past 5 days, but, as the models presently stand,
somewhere in the SE could see 30C next Wed (Gravesend??) and there
could be quite a thundery breakdown following the short-lived heat.

And now...................Coo! Summer at only 5/6 days on both models.
That turnaround, from hopelessly unsettled ad infinitum, has happened in
under 36 hours and at well under 10 days. I don't really expect that to
change on this evening's runs.


Oh, good.