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Old June 25th 13, 09:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
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Default Situation at 7-10 days on gfs and ECM

On Monday, June 24, 2013 7:58:00 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, June 16, 2013 10:50:29 AM UTC+1, BK wrote:

"Dawlish" wrote in message




...




On Friday, June 14, 2013 7:39:22 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:




On Thursday, June 13, 2013 12:44:44 PM UTC+1, Scott W wrote:








Looks like it will turn very hot in Hungary - high 30Cs. I wonder if




the region to the east is in for a repeat of 2010 - *killer heatwave*




headlines on the way








gfs 12z would have us believe that the heat will clip the SE. It is so




interesting watching the models struggling with the path of the first




North African plume of the year.








It really has been fascinating to watch the model "Ummms" and "Ah's" on




this one. Confidence from both models that the heat will spill into the SE




and perhaps, along with it, some beefy thunderstorms.








As long as it's all over and done with quickly and Royal Ascot on the




Saturday is bathed in sunshine from a brief ridge of high pressure, I




don't mind. *))








(He says, crossing his fingers!)








And for my daughters wedding on Saturday in a hopefully sunny West Sussex!








Rob




Hope it was good. Ascot saw a couple of blustery showers blow through and we had to hang onto the gazebo!



Still the (rather unexpected and welcome) model change is upon us. No exceptional warmth, but a dry week and less windy in prospect for many. However, T+240 looks pretty dire ATM.


However, at T+240 tonight - the promise of real summer. See if it still there in 24 hours time.