On Wednesday, 22 January 2014 21:01:57 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Enough consistency and agreement for me to forecast:



**At T+240 on 1st Feb, the UK will be experiencing weather with an Atlantic source. Low pressures crossing the UK will lead to generally wet and windy weather. Temperatures will be above average with only ridges of high pressure providing respites, with the possibility of frost and fog. Snow on Northern hills may well occur in the lee of any depressions and as the fronts approach; it will be the start of February. The high pressure over Scandinavia, which will threaten to affect our weather over the next 8 days will retreat eastwards, allowing the Atlantic air to dominate.**



I don't see the possibilities suggested by the models, over the last few days, achieving outcome and instead, I'm confident that the wet weather will dominate at the start of Feb.

Which of the two main models are you basing that on and at what time
12z or the 18z