In article ,
exmetman writes:
Looking back to my 17th Jan posting:

Well its the now the 30th and there was a change in type
yesterday! So YES there was a change in type as suggested by the
T+300 GFS! But only half a point because the low never made it
into Germany! This is probably the first real break in the SW/CSW
spell since it started back in early December.

Yep. As I've mentioned before, this is a favoured time of year for such
a break to occur. Of course when it does it generally lasts for more
than 48 hours! (Or maybe I just don't remember the times when it
didn't.)

Looking forward...

No change of type out to T+384 (15 Feb). Once we get out of this
very short lived CSE its back into the same mix of SW/CSW
occasional C. I'll see if the GFS gets it right when I report back in a
fortnight.

Bruce.

Thanks. That will be interesting.

Today's 00Z ECMWF run suggests that the next 10 days will not only
continue unsettled but could be exceptionally mild, with the wind a
southerly for most of the time.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"