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Old February 1st 14, 11:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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Default **Forecast: Atlantic Zonal weather on 11th Feb.

On Saturday, February 1, 2014 10:55:25 AM UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Nick wrote:

On Saturday, February 1, 2014 9:31:47 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:


In with the new weather; same as the old weather..........but perhaps a little milder:








**At T+240 on 11th Feb, the UK will be experiencing weather with an Atlantic source. Low pressures crossing the UK will lead to generally wet and windy weather. Temperatures will be above average, with only ridges of high pressure providing respites, with the possibility of frost and fog. Snow is very unlikely, except on Northern hills in the lee of any depressions and as the fronts approach, but in advance of the depressions, we may see mild, springlike weather, as air is dragged up from the SW."








I wish I could see a drying out, but it's simply not there.




It is there on recent GFS runs though. Granted the ECM doesn't seem to agree - but there must be a possibility of a change given that three or four GFS runs have suggested a settling down round the 12th. I certainly hope so!




I can't see anything "springlike" until that happens though, for weather to be "springlike" it's got to be settled as well as mild: otherwise it's just plain autumnal!


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Someone on December 12th should have said:-

Forecast:-

**From now till T+1440 it it will be mild, very wet and very windy**

Now that would have been good! As far as I can find anywhere nobody did

hence the reason I ignore seasonal forecasts.

Dave


*))