On Tuesday, February 11, 2014 10:38:20 PM UTC, David Mitchell wrote:
I forecast the weather at 10 days because, with an 80% accuracy, I know when the models can be trusted at 10 days. 10 days ago, the models could be trusted and showed Atlantic weather. You might think the weather is somehow my fault, but that's a claim I don't think I can make! *))



Ah, so it's the models that forecast the zonality (and not you, as I've always said.)



David, semi-snowy, semi-wet, very icy Langtoft.

Odd, that's what I've always said too. What I do better than others is to interpret the models to say what they are likely to be correct at any one time. (That's what you've never said, but is what actually happens).