On 13/02/2014 14:19, N_Cook wrote:
Looks like equalling the 1999 marine flooding tomorrow for the late
evening high tides for central southern England, despite being well
below astronomical spring tide heights
Residual = excess height of water over predicted astronomical tide height
http://www.ntslf.org/numerical-model...ort=Portsmouth

http://www.ntslf.org/numerical-model...rt=Bournemouth

and recently each 6 hour run output has incremented higher than the
earlier output for the major surge propogations

tide times
http://www.ntslf.org/tides/predictions

In line for exceeding the 1989 life-time extreme tide of 5.7m for
Southampton tonight, on the way to exceeding the 1924 record of 6.0m
tide, currently we will get a 5.8m tide at 23:15 tonight.
Likely to increase that after the noon and 18:00 Proudman/NOC TTSLF
surge runs later taday.
Of course emergency services would get their fingers out warning
residents, until its too late ant they are overstretched to do anything.
Up to us locals to do the warning this afternoon

For this evening 14 Feb , shipping forecast
Selsey Bill to Lyme Regis ...
southwest gale 8 to storm 10, perhaps violent storm 11 for a time later.