On Saturday, April 5, 2014 8:20:40 AM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Friday, April 4, 2014 9:34:04 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Friday, April 4, 2014 12:54:41 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:



On Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03:46 AM UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:



Dawlish wrote:



After a period of the models lacking agreement and consistency, the operationals of gfs ECM and GEM agree, this morning. High pressure and settled, warm weather at T+240 would take us to almost mid-month and would make a warmer than average spring highly likely. See if consistency develops during today.



No doubt if it is your sycophantic MP will praise the super human David



Cameron for it!



06z gfs promises marvellous weather at T+240.



However, ECM 12z doesn't want to play ball..............



And the 00z ECM sits a fat high right over the UK at 10 days. See if that is still there this evening.

And the 06z gfs is really not as keen. There's a lack of consistency that is preventing me from being confident enough ATM of the outcome to forecast..

Again, if anyone else would like to have a go at forecasting at 10 days, based on the current output, I wish you good luck. Best guess: anticyclonic conditions, but I wouldn't be 80% confident of that.