Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Saturday, 10 May 2014 22:01:37 UTC+1, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Saturday, 10 May 2014 08:41:08 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
A pretty horrible start to the last third of May. I hope it doesn't set the pattern for the coming summer.
**On 20th May at T+240, the weather in the UK will be dominated by a fairly slow moving low pressure system. Many areas will be showery and some may be experiencing periods of extended rain. Any sunshine between the showers will feel warm, but temperatures will be around, or below average in many areas.**
Probably not the best time to book a short break in the UK.
Is that your prediction or the models or if and when they change then you'll change your forecast. Lets get this straight. are you purely commentating on the latest model outputs or are you laying claim to being some kind of forecaster because I still don't quite understand these posts of yours and what they are meant to be.
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Christ Lawrence. You don't have to agree with his methods or think that

it is anything spectacular but there must have been so many threads

debating and explaining this I can't believe you've missed them. For

what it's worth it is a commentary on the models when all of them (or at

least the ones Paul uses)show 80% consistency at 10 days (not sure on

the exact criteria for this, whether it's temp, pressure, system

positions etc). SO these consistent models are purportedly showing what

Paul states and this is a forecast based on them. It is a rare event as

they don't often have this consistency. He doesn't change it and after

10 days you can see if the models got it right or not.




Do you actually think I read every thread started by a man who calls me idiot every second word!!!!!! Jesus wept Dave why would I do that?
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Most of his threads do seem to alternate Dawlish..
Lawrence..Dawlish...Lawrence..etc. etc. as far as I can see.:-)