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Old June 18th 14, 10:29 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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Default 19 June last quarter at 18:39

18 June 2014 the last full day for the present spell and if you are now mowing hay I wish you the best of British.

18:00 is a spell full of volcanic activity unless we get a lot of rain. The USA has suffered a lot of serious tornado activity and Brazil among a number of other countries has suffered with severe flooding. Both of which run close coincidentally with volcanic activity.

The Climategate Office has the North Atlantic chart showing the anticyclone over us will continue through to at least t+84. They are also showing it breaks up tomorrow but reforming and elongating slowly out to central Europe..

I won't pretend to understand what the Bureau of Meteorology is showing on their southern hemisphere runs. Some parallel stuff but it has a lot of large cyclonic systems entrained throwing the isobars together under the doldrums.

Such compaction tends to occur with earthquake activity -a lot of which will be geometrically related to the centres of compaction.

the spell is a doubly unstable one as was the spell for 28 May (new moon 18:40)
http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.html

The Anticyclone in that spell did not cover Britain nor block the Atlantic for long, whilst the BoM chart for the start of that spell is similar to today's, it showed signs of tropical storm formation (e.g. Amanda/Boris) but they were a system going into decline.

Presumably this spell will not even get that far. I do not know what the volcanic effects were on TS formation but the mirror image of Mount Sangeang etcetera can be found he
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/140528_rpts.html

Usually heightened volcanic activity goes along with one super-tropical storm and two also rans. Maybe the fact that it is a double unstable screwed that up.

Or maybe I don't know what I am talking about.