On Sunday, 22 June 2014 23:29:41 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
We still have nice weather despite the time of the phase and the volcanic eruption

Maybe there is another one in Kamchatka or Chile?



I have an aching shoulder so I think the change in the weather will come with an earthquake. Look out for a 5 or even a 6 near Oaxaca and maybe a 4.5 in Venezuela. And again Chile or wherever (the Aleutians or some such.)



Look for a High leaving North America at the Charleston/ Cape Hatteras region. It is quite a a large anticyclone so who knows...

I've lost track of things with the Fijian Triangle.

Looks like things may resume there.

Tornado Season

Gulf Coast
April

Southern Plains
May - early June

Northern Plains, Upper Midwest
June - July

Mid-Atlantic
July

There is a map from Harold Brooks who used to post on uk.sci.weather until I upset him. (sorry about that) on the same page:
http://modernsurvivalblog.com/weathe...ornado-season/

A similar patterns to yesterdays is seen on the NWS list but no further reports of volcanic activity (which doesn't mean much.)
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

"At least 26 people died and around 337,000 people are missing after storms brought torrential rain and flash floods to much of southern China, Xinhua reported.

Eleven people died in Hunan, five in Jiangxi and four in Fujian. Guizhou, Guangxi and Chongqing each reported two deaths.

Flash floods and landslides have toppled more than 8,700 houses, damaged another 66,000 homes causing direct economic losses of 4.08 billion yuan (£383,180,000).

China's central meteorological authority has issued a blue alert in multiple areas and more heavy rain is expected in large areas of southern China today.

Emergency response teams and relief materials have been sent to the disaster-hit regions, Xinhua mentioned."
http://www.disaster-report.com/2014/...d-337000..html

So plenty of scope for volcanic stuff yet. Next spell should see striations dominating British skies so the tornadic stuff should continue, though not necessarily in the same vein. (27 June New Moon at 08:09 http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.html)

The North Atlantic charts for midnight just got posted by Climategate. They show the first forecast for the 27th. A Low replaces the ridged remnant we are at present enjoying. (If you can call 1018mb a low.)

It look like Amanda has stepped up again:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
Only 30% but it went down to yellow yesterday (10%) which is why I was thinking Oaxaca would get some earthquake activity.

No reports of tropical storms so it looks like I was wrong about that. Give it until Wednesday but I think something is going to show up before today ends. JTWC says not though. Not even a glimmer.

I ought to bone up on the latest ideas about tornadoes but to be honest I just find myself scrolling down without taking much in from places like:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado
Someone meeker than I might find it interesting. Don't let me put you off.